Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.022852 13.491406 15.169064 17.250551 19.797039 22.856444 26.882679
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.162101 11.947398 14.144412 17.115709 21.145109 26.610097 34.962208
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.990976 10.898403 13.365809 16.911453 22.102662 29.857178 43.356113
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.220736 10.204248 12.873342 16.904219 23.205927 33.479771 53.802837
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.694006 9.747080 12.606324 17.121192 24.624701 37.956295 68.179709
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.076007 9.088241 11.957035 16.630261 24.747239 40.136146 79.121453
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.678356 8.698215 11.647955 16.612286 25.654226 44.092143 97.515334
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.211078 8.164763 11.063990 16.052466 25.443379 45.627039 110.536699
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.740952 7.592744 10.370027 15.219844 24.556836 45.374820 117.676418
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.359331 7.128924 9.809795 14.558134 23.901365 45.507307 126.810538
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.495606 7.455703 10.530413 16.255708 28.451018 60.882593 233.969135
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.427965 7.459155 10.719424 16.999393 31.145439 72.974091 382.140807
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.082762 7.016040 10.144189 16.242538 30.261198 73.415090 441.252680
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.871912 6.776780 9.901999 16.123648 30.949830 80.084924 644.554184
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.670103 6.539306 9.643212 15.937448 31.429428 86.448828 973.343222
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.512806 6.364857 9.481137 15.930885 32.396644 95.861398 1808.732101
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.397247 6.252037 9.419477 16.129175 34.003343 110.189972 5517.691088
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.203224 5.997219 9.080787 15.680364 33.602009 113.703949 12089.152623
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.080077 5.856017 8.942163 15.663921 34.533380 126.387732 882726.128542
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.902727 5.614273 8.601167 15.151376 33.782476 127.710976 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.704394 5.329430 8.165814 14.387598 32.093555 121.480602 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.535883 5.090478 7.807370 13.779315 30.841984 117.913156 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.635842 5.318138 8.346968 15.337545 37.349447 187.055727 NaN